Winter Storm Snowmagedocalypsicane (Feb. 4 – Feb. 5 Winter Storm) Verifications

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Forecast Grade: Fair

What went wrong?

  • Thought more heavy snow would shift northward up into NW PA. Stayed south near Butler.
  •  Thought back edge of system would stay further south in NW PA. Enough heavy snow with this batch gave Oil City 6 inches though, which was  in my 5-10″ forecast
  • -Ice was the worst in northern MD and southern PA which I expected. Ice accumulations more than expected. More ice in NW PA than I expected, though.


Ice Totals and Snowfall Totals maps courtesy of

Location forecast:

Snow/Ice Forecast:

  • Erie: 8-12″
  • Oil City: 5-10″
  • Franklin: 4-8″
  • Butler: 3-6″
  • New Castle: 3-6″
  • Pittsburgh: 1-3″ dahntahn; 2-4″ in the Burbs. (Up to .2″ of ice)
  • Uniontown: Maybe an inch or 2. Sleet/rain mainly.
  • Bradford: 6-12″
  • State College: 3-6″. (<0.1″ of ice)
  • Breezewood: 1-3″ of snow. (Up to 0.5″ of ice)
  • Scranton: 5-10″
  • Reading: 1-3″ of snow. (Up to 0.3″ of ice)
  • Philly: 1-2″ of snow. (Up to 0.3″ of ice). Burbs north could see 2-4″ of snow (Up to 0.5″ of ice)
  • NYC: 2-4″. (Up to 0.4″ of ice)
  • Frederick, MD: (Up to 0.4 inches of ice)
  • DC: Mainly rain with some crap potentially mixed in. Ice should stay north of city.

Location Snowfall/Ice Totals (Courtesy of National Weather Service):