As If Mondays Weren’t Bad Enough, 7 Inches of Snow On My Car At 3AM Didn’t Help

Well it’s Monday. 3 days til Spring…and there’s about 10 inches of snow in Germantown, MD. Looks like old St. Patrick sent us some shi…shenanigans for today. In western PA, looking at a cold morning but nice day. This dry pattern will continue into tomorrow before a chance of rain and snow move in on Wednesday. For DC, could see a few more instances of snow today before it tapers off. A chance of rain will move in on Wednesday. Anyone else ready for Spring weather?
Current (~7am) Temperatures:
  • Erie, PA:  12; Wind Chill: -5
  • Franklin, PA: 12; Wind Chill: 0
  • New Castle, PA: 14; Wind Chill: 2
  • Butler, PA:  23; Wind Chill: 13
  • Pittsburgh (KAGC): 27; Wind Chill: 16
  • Uniontown, PA: 22; Wind Chill: 16
  • State College, PA: 21; Wind Chill: 11
  • Frederick, MD: 25; Wind Chill: 16
  • BWI Airport, MD:  24; Wind Chill: 15
  • DC (KDCA):  27; Wind Chill: 15

Forecast:

Western PA:

Main threat: Cold this morning. Potential for slick roads Wednesday.

  • Today: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies. Highs: 30s. Some places in south may hit the 50s. Overnight Lows: 20s
  • Tuesday:  Mostly sunny. Highs: Upper 40s/50s Overnight Lows: 30s
  • Wednesday:  Chance of rain/snow. Maybe some sleet mixed in. Sloppy Highs: 50s Overnight Lows: Low to Mid 30s

DC Region: 

Main threat: Awful roads early this morning. Hopefully road crews get things cleaned up quickly.

  • Today:  Risk of snow continues, mainly early on.  Highs: Low to mid 30s Overnight Lows: Mid to upper 20s
  • Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Highs: Low 40s Overnight Lows: 30s
  • Wednesday:  Chance of showers. Highs: Upper 40s/Low 50s Overnight Lows: 30s/Low 40s

Good News: Normals continue to increase. Brief warm-up towards the late week.

Bad News: The overall below normal temperature continues through next week.

Winter Storm Sunday into Early Tuesday

If you are leaving somewhere in southern PA and northern MD, be careful as snow is expected on Sunday. Could be significant along the PA Turnpike or I-70 in MD. If you have any questions about this feel free to text me or ask me on here. Not sure if I’ll be able to get back to you online though. I own a dumb phone sadly. I won’t have time to make a snow map either sadly. Have a great day and stay safe!

  • Where: Southern PA/Northern MD/DC Region/Northern VA
  • Start: Lunch time on Sunday
  • End: Early Tuesday
  • Main threat: Heavy snow, Untreated roads, sleet, ice
  • My suggestion: Leave in the morning on Sunday if you have to travel eastward on PA Turnpike or I-70 in MD. The longer you wait, the heavier the precipitation will be and the worse the roads will get.

Snow accumulations:
Thinking 4-8″ in much of southern PA right now. South of the PA border things get sketchy with more rain/sleet mixing in with the system. Could see 4-8″ in northern MD where DC could only see a few inches due to mixing. Some local areas in northern MD/southern PA could see 8+” of snow.

Little Cold. Lotta Sap

Looking at a chilly day today as temperatures might not make it out of the teens in parts of western PA. Temperatures will warm up significantly into the 50s tomorrow before declining back into the 30s/40s on Saturday. Lows tonight will be chilly in the teens before 30s move in tomorrow night. Teens and 20s will return by Saturday night. Conditions will stay dry until Friday night into Saturday as showers track in.

For DC we’re looking at 30s for today before 50s and 60s move in the next couple of days. Lows in the 20s tonight will give way to 30s the next couple of nights. Conditions should stay dry.

In terms of snow yesterday, here in Oil City it doesn’t look like we got more than 2 inches tops. With a lot of warm air ahead of the front we had disgusting rain change over to sleet before snow moved in. Snow mainly came in a moderate band before some flurries fell into the night. Roads were crap from what I heard with ice, but overall things weren’t too bad. I said 2-5″ by the end of it, so not awful, but I probably scared people with my initial forecast of 4-8″. You gotta realize it is mid March and that it’s a lot tougher to cool things down this time of year.

Oh Sloppy Day

Rain this morning will changeover to sleet and snow into the afternoon in NW PA. In Pittsburgh the rain will last longer before some snow shuttles in later. 2-5″ of snow is possible in NW PA while SW PA sees a coating to a couple inches. Something to watch out for is rain from this morning refreezing underneath snow that sticks. Will take a little while for snow to stick to pavement with how warm it has been the past few days. Temperatures will decline throughout the day as it gets really cold tonight. Wind chills in the negative teens are possible.

For DC, we’re looking at rain today. Potential for some light snow late but you shouldn’t see much accumulation. Temperatures will get chilly into the night tonight and tomorrow before bumping back up to more comfortable values.

Be safe folks!

Storm Wednesday

Little late today, but the main thing we are focusing on is tomorrow’s storm. Here’s what to expect:

  • When: Wednesday morning through early Thursday morning.
  • What to expect: Rain changing over to snow by afternoon. Freezing rain/sleet during the transition period.
  • Snow accumulations of 2-5″ possible for Oil City region. Lowered this due to more warming ahead of the system. However, this could lead to more freezing rain/sleet and icier roads with less snowpack on top to help with friction.
  • In Pittsburgh, should stay mainly rain with maybe a coating to a couple inches late. Icy roads possible there late as well.
  • In DC, this storm will remain all rain.

Whatever you do, be safe tomorrow, especially in NW PA. Not worth risking it to hurry to where you are going. If you have to drive
(mainly in the afternoon and night tomorrow), treat it like cooking BBQ, low and slow.

Burst of Warmth Then Winter Returns

Due to current family obligations and business of work, I am going to summarize the forecast today.

Forecast:

Western PA:

Main threat: Rain changing over to snow during the middle of the week. Ice jam remains a threat, although ice levels have declined a little bit.

  • Mainly dry conditions over the next couple of days before a slopfest moves in on Wednesday. Rain changing over to snow could allow for ice to form on the roads making for dangerous travel. Moderate snowfall accumulations could fall, especially in NW PA where conditions get colder. Freezing rain and sleet will also occur with this system. Highs in the 40s and 50s the next couple of days will decline into the 30s and 40s on Wednesday. Lows in the 30s and 40s the next couple of nights will drop into the single digits and teens late Wednesday night into early Thursday.

DC Region: 

Main threat: Rain during the middle of the week

  • Dry and warm conditions the next couple of days will give way to steady rains on Wednesday. Highs in the 60s the next couple of days will decline on Wednesday. Lows in the 30s and low 40s are expected.

 

Good News: Warmth over the next couple of days.

Bad News: Storm during the middle of the week followed by colder conditions.

Be safe! Especially on Wednesday.

What is this feeling? I don’t shiver as soon as I walk outside. I feel comfortable!

Yes it will be a comfortable day as some enjoyable temperatures move in for today. Highs in the 40s are expected from western PA into the DC region today. This pattern will cool off a bit on Saturday in western PA as a chance of light rubbish moves into the region. Warmer temperatures will hold steady through early next week before another shot of below normal temperatures moves in. Luckily, normals keep getting warmer, so below normal won’t be  as cold as we saw a few weeks ago. Have a fantastic weekend and get outside today!
Current (~7am) Temperatures:
  • Erie, PA:  25; Wind Chill: 12
  • Franklin, PA: 19; Wind Chill: 8
  • New Castle, PA: 21; Wind Chill: 21
  • Butler, PA:  23; Wind Chill: 15
  • Pittsburgh (KAGC): 27; Wind Chill: 20
  • Uniontown, PA: 28; Wind Chill: 23
  • State College, PA: 25; Wind Chill: 25
  • Frederick, MD: 28; Wind Chill: 19
  • BWI Airport, MD:  30; Wind Chill: 21
  • DC (KDCA):  33; Wind Chill: 24

Forecast:

Western PA:

Main threat: Refreezing water on roads from melting snow during overnight/early morning hours. Ice jam on Oil Creek.

  • Today: Partly cloudy Highs: 40s. Some places in south may hit the 50s. Overnight Lows: Upper 20s/30s
  • Saturday:  Increasing clouds. Chance of rain/snow into the night.  Highs: Upper 30s/40s Overnight Lows: 20s
  • Sunday:  Chance of light rubbish early in the south. Partly sunny. Highs: 30s/Low 40s Overnight Lows: Teens/20s

DC Region: 

Main threat: Freezing drizzle/sleet to south of city mainly. Refreezing water on roads from melting snow during overnight/early morning hours

  • Today:  Slight chance of  freezing drizzle, sleet, and light showers, mainly south of DC.  Highs: 40s Overnight Lows: Upper 20s/Low 30s
  • Saturday: Mostly sunny Highs: Mid to Upper 50s Overnight Lows: 30s
  • Sunday:  Chance of showers early. Drying out during the day  Highs: Upper 40s/Low 50s Overnight Lows: Low to Mid 30s

Good News: Normals continue to increase. Warmer temperatures through early next week.

Bad News: Colder temperatures move in by the middle of next week. Rumors of a snow storm next week have been brought up.  Too early to tell, but the pattern is right for unsettled conditions. I’ll keep you updated if anything happens!

Top 10 Most Common First Reactions When You Tell Someone You’re A Meteorologist

Here is a list of the top 10 most common first reactions when someone finds out I manipulate the weather. These might not be the same for every meteorologist, but I can guarantee you a meteorologist has heard at least 1 of these. I also know that many times these are jokes, but sometimes it gets serious and really grinds your gears. Without further adieu, here is the list:

10. The Old Finger Lick. My 91 year old grandfather (we call him Gramps) always asks how everything is going in the weather business when I see him. After I answer, he tells me to “hold on” as he winds up his finger, moistens his mouth, and licks his finger and sticks it up in the air. I love him to death because he’s one of the funniest people I’ve ever known. I’ve had this happen as a first reaction to when I told someone I was a meteorologist. Wasn’t as in love. It’s not as easy as you think.

9. “What kind of degree do you get for that?” Although there are various degrees you can get if you want to become a broadcast meteorologist, there is a meteorology degree (usually involving more of the math/physics behind weather). This question is usually followed up by, “Do you just stand in front of a green screen all day/look at clouds?” Yes, that is all we do because we are in 1st grade when going to a reputable university. It involves at least 2 semesters of general physics, 4 semesters of calculus/differential equations, thermodynamics, dynamics, chemistry, cloud physics, radiation, synoptic meteorology, mesoscale meteorology, etc. 1st grade profession? I don’t think so.

8.Oh, do you know (name of TV meteorologist)?” Although the meteorologist community is pretty tight knit (despite Twitter fights being common), I do not know who every meteorologist is. The chances of me knowing a certain meteorologist from Tulsa, Oklahoma is slim. If it is someone from back home in western PA or even in the DC region, chances are I have heard of them or have bothered them on Twitter. If it is Al Roker, I just say I don’t know him after what happened in the White House.

7. “Why do I need you when I can just look outside?” It’s pretty obvious isn’t it?Not according to that person I guess. Let’s see. We forecast for everyday people, energy, agriculture, ski resorts, NASCAR, the nation, the continent, the world, and a whole lot of other stuff. Long-term or short-term, our forecast is for the future mostly, not for when you stick your head out the window to find out that a hurricane has driven a board straight through your noggin.

6.That’s so cool. I’ve always found (something about outer space) fascinating.” Sadly this question comes up more than I want it to. As much as I want to slam my head against the nearest blunt object, I keep my cool and give them the bad news. They usually feel a little stupid, but I suppose it is an understandable mistake with “meteor” in the word. However, “hydrometeors” are generally what we study.

5. “That’s so cool. I always wanted to be a weatherman/weathergirl as a kid.” This reaction is great because it reminds you of the kids who say they want to grow up and become a fireman or police officer. A weatherperson is a dream job for a lot of young kids. Some decide to take a different route (because of the intense schooling, pay, or schedule probably) and others like myself follow through. These folks also tend to pay more attention to what you say because that could have been them (good or bad).

4. “What are your thoughts on global warming/climate change?” This question comes up quite a bit with the growing popularity/concern over global warming. Although I’m not a climate scientist, I did take several classes in climate studies and probably know more than the average person in another profession. I actually enjoy these usually, before the mention of Al Gore, Bill Nye, and/or politics totally brings down the vibe…especially if it is Thanksgiving.

3. “So what’s the weather going to be like at/in (insert location [i.e. my house, Zimbabwe, etc.])?” You better be on your A game, because Grandma Edna will be disappointed if you don’t know what the weather will be like Friday at 11 AM for her renal care appointment. Although we usually do know generally how the weather will be for them, the worst is on vacation. My response then is, “I don’t know. I’m on vacation,” as I sit in my beach chair and dig my feet into the sand.

2.Are you on TV?” In a close 2nd place is the popular question about being in the limelight. TV can also be interchangeable with The Weather Channel. If you are on television, you’ll have quite a bit to talk about. If you are not, the person’s interest either lessens or they become more curious. There’s either an, “It’s okay, someday you’ll be on,”  or a, “What do you do then?” I usually think to myself, “No, I won’t be on TV. That’s not what I do.” If they ask the second question, then I am glad to talk about it for as long s they show interest. I’ve been asked this question enough where most times I say, “I’m a meteorologist, but I’m not on TV.”

 

and finally (drum roll, please)…

 

1. “It’s the only job you can be wrong (insert %/fraction) of the time and still be employed/get paid.” Definitely the most common response I have heard since becoming a meteorologist. Usually the percentage is greater than or equal to 50 or the fraction is a 1/2 or more. The fact of the matter is, there is usually some kind of quality control to keep us in line. If our forecast is better than climatology/models/”the system” more often than not, then we’re doing a good job. If you want us to get the forecast right 100% of the time for something that’s ever changing in a non-hydrostatic atmosphere, keep dreaming. If your percentage is 1%, I’ll take it as a compliment. If you are wrong 99% of the time, you probably will not have a job.

NBA Jam Announcer: “Heating Up!”

The warming trend continues after another chilly morning this morning. Despite a slight chance of rain and freezing drizzle in the DC region tomorrow and a chance of light rain and snow on late on Saturday, conditions should stay mainly dry. Heading into next week temperatures will stay warm early before another cold shot brings below normal temperatures back into the region. The concern for ice jam flooding continues in Oil City, especially as highs hold above freezing through early next week.
Current (~7am) Temperatures:
  • Erie, PA:  9; Wind Chill: -1
  • Franklin, PA: 10; Wind Chill: -4
  • New Castle, PA: 18; Wind Chill: 9
  • Butler, PA:  14; Wind Chill: -2
  • Pittsburgh (KAGC): 18; Wind Chill: 11
  • Uniontown, PA: 20; Wind Chill: 5
  • State College, PA: 10; Wind Chill: -1
  • Frederick, MD: 21; Wind Chill: 11
  • BWI Airport, MD:  22; Wind Chill: 10
  • DC (KDCA):  26; Wind Chill: 16

Forecast:

Western PA:

Main threat: Cold morning today. Refreezing water on roads from melting snow during overnight/early morning hours. Ice jam on Oil Creek.

  • Today: Mostly sunny Highs: Upper 20s/30s Overnight Lows: Teens/20s
  • Friday: Partly cloudy Highs: 40s. Some places in south may hit the 50s. Overnight Lows: Upper 20s/30s
  • Saturday:  Increasing clouds. Chance of rain/snow into the night.  Highs: Upper 30s/40s Overnight Lows: 20s

DC Region: 

Main threat: Refreezing water on roads from melting snow during overnight/early morning hours

  • Today: Partly sunny  Afternoon Highs: 30s Overnight Lows: 20s/Low 30s
  • Friday:  Slight chance of  freezing drizzle and light showers.  Highs: 40s Overnight Lows: 30s
  • Saturday: Mostly sunny Highs: 50s Overnight Lows: 30s

Good News: Normals continue to increase. Warmer temperatures through early next week.

Bad News: Colder temperatures move in by the middle of next week.

It’s About Time That Spring Wakes Up From Hibernation

A warmer look this morning compared to yesterday morning as temperatures this morning are ~10+ degrees warmer than yesterday. The warming trend will continue into the weekend and early next week. Ice jam flooding concerns continue with Oil Creek as these temperatures rise to above freezing, helping to thaw out the ice. Mainly dry conditions will persist into the weekend with some sunshine! Enjoy it folks!
Current (~7am) Temperatures:
  • Erie, PA:  16; Wind Chill: 7
  • Franklin, PA: 18; Wind Chill: 11
  • New Castle, PA: 18; Wind Chill: 9
  • Butler, PA:  21; Wind Chill: 14
  • Pittsburgh (KAGC): 24; Wind Chill: 24
  • Uniontown, PA: 12; Wind Chill: 12
  • State College, PA: 19; Wind Chill: 19
  • Frederick, MD: 12; Wind Chill: 12
  • BWI Airport, MD:  16; Wind Chill: 16
  • DC (KDCA):  25; Wind Chill: 25

Forecast:

Western PA:

Main threat: Cold tonight. Refreezing water on roads from melting snow during overnight/early morning hours

  • Today:  Mostly cloudy.  Highs: 20s/Low 30s Overnight Lows: Single digits/Teens
  • Thursday: Mostly sunny Highs: Upper 20s/30s Overnight Lows: Teens/20s
  • Friday: Partly cloudy Highs: 40s. Some places in south may hit the 50s. Overnight Lows: 30s

DC Region: 

Main threat: Refreezing water on roads from melting snow during overnight/early morning hours

  • Today: Mostly sunny Highs: 30s/Low 40s Overnight Lows: 20s
  • Thursday: Partly sunny  Afternoon Highs: 30s Overnight Lows: 20s/Low 30s
  • Friday:  Slight chance of wet weather  Highs: 40s Overnight Lows: 20s/30s

Good News: Warming trend continues through early next week. Normals continue to increase

Bad News: Cooler than normal pattern isn’t done yet over the next 2 weeks.